Chapter 4: Exponential Smoothing Methods

4/1  Averaging methods
4/1/1  The mean
4/1/2  Moving averages
4/2  Exponential smoothing methods
4/2/1  Single exponential smoothing
4/2/2  Single exponential smoothing: an adaptive approach
4/2/3  Holt's linear method
4/2/4  Holt-Winters' trend and seasonality method
4/2/5  Exponential smoothing: Pegels' classification
4/3  A comparison of methods
4/4  General aspects of smoothing methods
4/4/1  Initialization
4/4/2  Optimization
4/4/3  Prediction intervals
References and selected bibliography
Exercises

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