Chapter 10: Judgmental
forecasting and adjustments
- 10/1 The accuracy of judgmental forecasts
- 10/1/1 The accuracy of forecasts in financial and other markets
- 10/1/2 Non-investment type forecasts
- 10/2 The nature of judgmental biases and limitations
- 10/2/1 Judgmental biases in forecasting
- 10/2/2 Dealing with judgmental biases
- 10/2/3 Conventional wisdom
- 10/3 Combining statistical and judgmental forecasts
- 10/3/1 Arriving at final forecasts during a budget meeting
- 10/4 Conclusion
- References and selected bibliography
- Exercises
Back to outline of contents.